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The Outsider Perspective Issue 474

January 16, 2026 Daniel Vaughan

If you’d like to read this issue on my website, click here! If you’d like to sign-up and receive this in your inbox each week, click here! Read past issues here.  

Good Friday Morning! Except for the “Jessicas” and “chopplegangers” out there. Gen-Z is adding new words to the lexicon. Instead of calling those middle-aged women who demand to see a manager a “Karen,” Gen-Z has renamed them “Jessica.” 

According to the NYPost, “On social media, the Jessica mentions are piling up fast. From Patagonia quarter zip-sporting moms who complain they ‘look homeless today’ (classic Jessica) to the kind of people who ruin everything with their unknowingly irritating behavior — not today, Jessica! — TikTok and the like have found a new punching bag.”

Combine this with a choppelganger, and you get a toxic mix for sure. Again, the NYPost, “‘Choppelganger,’ the latest term being thrown around by today’s kids, is not to be confused with ‘doppelganger.’ While the latter refers to someone who looks exactly like another person, being called a choppelganger is not polite. Since apparently the word ‘chopped’ is now used by today’s youth to call another person ugly, choppelganger refers to someone’s uglier copy.”

You learn something new every day. Speaking of, I’m going to dip into the Supreme Court this week and talk about the big case on women’s sports – links to follow.

Quick Hits: 

  • The American Almanac turns 1! I’ve kept this advertisement below as people have signed up throughout the year. The Almanac turned one this week, and it’s shocking to believe. It’s gone from a side project to test at the Conservative Institute, where I’m a columnist, to one of the most popular products they’ve ever produced. And that’s happened in 12 months. We’re building beyond that in 2026 – stay tuned.
  • The American Almanac is growing! Hundreds of thousands of people now read us daily. I want to express my sincere gratitude to those of you who subscribe, share, and help us grow. You can subscribe here for free. Additionally, please check out Capital Digest (finance/economics), Conservative Legal News, and Real Talk Digest. There are more projects in the pipeline. If you don’t see anything in your inbox a day after signing up, check your spam folder.

Where you can find me this week 

Please subscribe, rate, and review The Horse Race on YouTube — the reviews help listeners, and readers like you find me. Make sure to sign up for the Conservative Institute’s daily newsletter and The American Almanac.

Liberals Pretend To Not Understand Minnesota ICE Shooting – Conservative Institute

The Lasting Lessons Of Dilbert And Scott Adams – Conservative Institute

Minneapolis Doesn’t Need Resistance — It Needs Rule of Law – Conservative Institute


Supreme Court Appears Ready to Back States on Transgender Athlete Sports Laws

On Tuesday, January 13, the Supreme Court spent nearly three and a half hours on one question: can states keep girls’ and women’s school sports meaningfully female? They should be able to. And from the tone of the argument, a majority of the justices seem inclined to agree.This isn’t a referendum on all the various things activists claim. It’s about whether courts should force schools to treat a sex-based athletic category as optional, and then spend the next decade litigating what counts as “optional enough.”The cases come from Idaho and West Virginia. Idaho passed its law in 2020; West Virginia followed in 2021, and lower courts in both states blocked enforcement under different theories.In Little v. Hecox, a transgender woman, Lindsay Hecox, challenged Idaho’s law under the 14th Amendment’s Equal Protection Clause. In West Virginia v. B.P.J., a transgender high school student challenged West Virginia’s law under Title IX. This federal statute bars sex discrimination in federally funded education programs.If you want the cleanest summary of the states’ argument, Idaho’s solicitor general basically gave it to the Court: sex “correlates strongly“ with athletic advantages like size, muscle mass, and heart and lung capacity, and the point of these laws is to preserve equal opportunity for girls.That’s not bigotry. That’s the entire reason women’s sports exist as a protected category in the first place.And the challengers’ position, at least as presented in argument, doesn’t really deny that sex categories matter. It asks the Court to create a constitutional and statutory exception: keep the boys/girls distinction, but require access to the girls category for some males who identify as female and who, they argue, lack the advantages the laws target.For those scoring at home: what the left is suggesting is categorically insane.Chief Justice John Roberts zeroed in on that. He pressed the challengers on whether they’re “perfectly comfortable“ with sex-separated teams but want an exception to the “biological definition,“ and he flagged the obvious spillover problem: if courts order an exception here, why wouldn’t the logic radiate out well beyond athletics?That’s the rule-of-law issue hiding in the open. Courts don’t just solve one emotional dispute. They write rules that govern millions of people who never asked to become plaintiffs.Justice Neil Gorsuch’s questions went to the same place from a different angle. Title IX is Spending Clause legislation: Congress provides funds, and the states accept them under clearly stated conditions. Gorsuch suggested the statute has to speak with a “particularly clear voice,“ and he pointed out that when Congress enacted Title IX in 1972, states would have understood “sex“ to mean biological sex.He’s right. That’s not a gotcha. It’s constitutional hygiene. If Washington wants to impose a new national rule on every school in America, Congress has to write it down.Justice Alito hammered away the hardest, though. In a now-viral moment, he pointed out to the ACLU’s lawyer that, under Title IX protections, everyone agreed on what a woman was. The ACLU lawyer agreed. He then pointed out that if we can agree on what a woman is under Title IX, why does that stop when we leave Title IX?The entire left refuses to define what a woman is in these arguments. It’s utterly bizarre. Because once you can’t explain these terms, the hardline protections we’ve designed for “women“ collapse. Instantly.Justice Brett Kavanaugh added the practical reality that lawyers sometimes pretend doesn’t exist: we’re in the middle of “scientific uncertainty“ and loud equality claims on both sides, and half the states have gone one way while the rest have gone the other. His implied question was simple: why would the Court “constitutionalize“ one rule for the whole country right now?I don’t necessarily agree with him, but it’s a clean argument for letting the states settle this. After decades of dealing with abortion ripping the judicial system apart, I can understand why the Roberts court would be reticent to wade into social issues again.The administration’s lawyer (as described in the argument coverage) pushed a point the Court usually understands: equal protection doesn’t require a “perfect fit.“ It requires a reasonable one, especially when the government sets general rules for general circumstances. That matters because nearly everyone admits the basic premise: male puberty usually confers athletic advantages in many sports. The argument then becomes a narrow one about a narrow subset—transgender girls who take puberty blockers and/or estrogen and, the challengers contend, don’t retain the advantages the law fears.But “narrow subset” doesn’t mean “easy constitutional exception.“ It means the legislature has a hard policy problem, and it has to pick a rule that schools can actually apply without turning every season into a federal case.

Title IX, of all things, should make conservatives cautious about judicial creativity here. The statute did enormous good by expanding women’s educational and sporting opportunities. If courts reinterpret it to require access to the female category based on gender identity, they risk converting Title IX from a shield for women’s sports into a tool that dissolves the category it was meant to protect.

Civil rights law still has to operate through administrable lines, especially in K–12 settings. If the country wants a new national standard—say, a separate “open“ division or sport-by-sport eligibility rules built around competitive equity—legislatures can debate it publicly, write it precisely, and own the consequences.

What courts shouldn’t do is treat “sex“ as a moving target under Title IX, or convert equal protection into a mandate for medicalized exceptions that schools can’t implement cleanly.

A narrow, disciplined ruling is available. Uphold these state laws as permissible sex-based team designations, and say explicitly that the Court is not deciding whether states that choose transgender-inclusive policies violate the Constitution.

In a pluralistic country, that’s the proper posture: let states argue it out, let voters hold officials accountable, and let Congress speak clearly if it wants to nationalize a different rule.

But don’t pretend you can protect women’s sports while making the women’s category negotiable. A category you can’t enforce is a category you don’t really have.

One last point, I’m ignoring the liberal justice arguments. None of them is worth even considering. The least important is Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson. Last term, I thought, perhaps her clerks were letting her down. She routinely appeared unprepared for oral arguments, produced poorly written long screeds, and made arguments with no basis in law or fact.

This term, we’ve learned it’s not the clerks. It’s her. There’s just no other way to put it: she doesn’t belong on the Supreme Court. Her performance on this case alone was embarrassing. She didn’t know basic points of law, that I’d assume any Con Law 1 student would understand.

This isn’t a partisan criticism, either. If I polled conservative lawyers on the Supreme Court Justices, Justice Elena Kagan would have high popularity. She is easily the best writer on the Court and one of the smartest to ever sit on the Court. That’s the opinion from conservatives from Scalia on down.

Justice Jackson makes points that make you question how she has a law degree. I’ve heavily criticized Justice Sonya Sotomayor and don’t consider her a good justice. But Jackson makes Sotomayor look good in comparison. And that’s astonishing to think when you’re dealing with cases at the level we are now. It’s shocking to watch. Biden is going to go down as one of the worst presidents, and having nominated one of the worst justices.


Links of the week

Thomas Sowell: My Experience With Artificial Intelligence: My ‘voice’ is all over the internet saying things I have never said and would never say. – WSJ

Why can’t Democrats speak frankly about Iran? – The Spectator

The Bankruptcy of the Democrats’ Elvis Presley Approach to Immigration: “Don’t Be Cruel” makes for a great song but terrible policy. – The Liberal Patriot

Woke Will Never Go Broke – Chronicles

Looking Left: Trump Willing To Work With Sen. Warren on Affordability – RealClearPolitics

SEC SCOTT BESSENT: How to stop fraud in Minnesota—and across the country – Fox News

Fraud Prevention Is a Hidden Key to Housing Affordability – RealClearPolitics

The Supreme Court Can’t Dodge Biology: Oral arguments over state sports laws underscored a simple truth: sex categories exist for a reason. – City Journal

A Look Back at New York City’s First Flirtation with Socialism: Before Zohran Mamdani and the Democratic Socialists of America, there were Vito Marcantonio and the American Labor Party. – City Journal

Trump has a chance to end Khamenei’s reign of terror in Iran – NYPost

Why even death doesn’t halt the media attacks on Scott Adams – NYPost


X/Twitter Thread(s) of the week

A terrifying thread of one man’s trip through the UK’s socialized healthcare program.


Satire of the week

British Teen Returning From Semester In U.S. Regales Friends With Tale Of Food That Tastes Good – Onion

NATO Begs U.S. For Emergency Funding So They Can Defend Greenland From U.S. – Babylon Bee

Nicolás Maduro to return in Avengers: Doomsday – Duffel Blog

Man Down to Last Unstained White T-Shirt Gambles on Meatball Sub – The Hard Times

Fallout Fan Has Same Music Taste As Grandpa – The Hard Drive

Medical Bill For Hospital Visit Now Arriving Faster Than Ambulance – Waterford Whispers News

Thanks for reading!

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